Derde Divisie
29.08 · 15:30
· Finished
ACV
1 : 1
DVS 33 Ermelo
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.94.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 1.5
1.94
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.2%
exp. goals
2.44
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
04.03.23
2:1
Over 2.5 won
17.09.22
0:2
Under 2.5
07.05.22
1:3
Over 2.5 won
13.11.21
0:1
Under 2.5