Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 11.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.4%
exp. goals
2.31
edge
+12.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
01.05.21
0:2
Under 2.5
20.09.20
0:4
Over 2.5 won