Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.1%
exp. goals
2.09
edge
-7.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
18.04.26
3:2
Over 2.5 won
05.10.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won
21.04.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
08.02.25
0:0
Under 2.5