Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.1%
exp. goals
4.10
edge
+54.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
23.03.24
0:2
Under 2.5
27.08.23
3:1
Over 2.5 won
27.05.23
2:1
Over 2.5 won
29.10.22
1:1
Under 2.5