Premier League
03.09 · 20:00
· Finished
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha SC
11.46
X4.33
29.1
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.30.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 3.5
1.30
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
1
Which team has more corners
probability
77.2%
exp. goals
2.41
edge
+1.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
23.02.26
1:0
Under 2.5
07.01.25
2:0
Under 2.5
08.08.24
1:0
Under 2.5
28.11.23
0:0
Under 2.5