Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Under 8.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
73.8%
exp. goals
2.34
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.01.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
22.01.25
1:1
Under 2.5
18.04.24
1:1
Under 2.5
06.02.24
0:1
Under 2.5