Matches
/
Reserve League
/
Defensa y Justicia Res. — Independiente Riva. Res.
·
Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Reserve League
03.09 · 21:00
· Finished
Defensa y Justicia Res.
4 : 0
Independiente Riva. Res.
11.85
X3.52
24.17
2
picks on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.96.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
1.96
medium
Over 2.5
1.95
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.6%
exp. goals
2.64
edge
-6.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
31.03.26
3:2
Over 2.5 won
30.10.25
1:1
Under 2.5
27.05.25
4:1
Over 2.5 won