Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
74.6%
exp. goals
2.97
edge
-11.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
31.03.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
12.06.25
1:1
Under 2.5
19.10.23
3:2
Over 2.5 won
10.03.23
1:3
Over 2.5 won