Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77%
exp. goals
2.39
edge
-6.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.04.26
3:0
Over 2.5 won
21.12.25
5:0
Over 2.5 won
09.03.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
25.10.24
3:0
Over 2.5 won