Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
2
Match result
probability
75.9%
exp. goals
2.45
edge
+3.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.05.26
0:1
Under 2.5
04.05.26
0:1
Under 2.5
06.11.25
0:4
Over 2.5 won
12.03.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won