Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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Модель TheAnalyticD
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.2%
exp. goals
1.74
edge
+9.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.07.26
1:0
Under 2.5
17.05.26
1:0
Under 2.5
14.09.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won