Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 0.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 1.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
72.6%
exp. goals
1.92
edge
+11.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
09.03.25
2:0
Under 2.5
10.11.24
1:1
Under 2.5
05.03.23
2:0
Under 2.5
20.11.22
2:0
Under 2.5