Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.2%
exp. goals
2.63
edge
-6.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.02.26
2:4
Over 2.5 won
18.08.25
0:2
Under 2.5
23.03.25
0:2
Under 2.5
12.10.24
1:5
Over 2.5 won