Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83%
exp. goals
3.84
edge
+3.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
11.01.26
0:0
Under 2.5
21.07.25
2:0
Under 2.5
14.04.25
4:1
Over 2.5 won
30.09.24
4:1
Over 2.5 won