Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Fouls over/under: Under 19.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.4%
exp. goals
3.23
edge
-7.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
27.02.26
3:5
Over 2.5 won
31.10.25
0:1
Under 2.5
21.04.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
30.11.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won