Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.6%
exp. goals
3.13
edge
-5.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
09.03.24
0:3
Over 2.5 won
16.09.23
1:3
Over 2.5 won
18.05.23
2:1
Over 2.5 won
07.01.23
1:2
Over 2.5 won