Liga de Ascenso
30.08 · 22:00
· Finished
Santa Cruz FC
1 : 2
Aserri FC
12.33
X3.9
22.75
2
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.22.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.33
low
Under 2.5
2.10
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.3%
exp. goals
2.25
edge
-12.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.