Matches / Liga de Ascenso / AD Carmelita — Aserri FC · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Liga de Ascenso 29.08 · 00:00 · Finished
AD Carmelita
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AD Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri FC
Aserri FC
away
1 pick on the match 1 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.98.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticT model TheAnalyticT model model retroactive* 3 rating place · bankroll 2% Over 2.5 1.98 medium

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 81.6% exp. goals 2.33
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

31.03.26 0:0 Under 2.5
16.02.26 2:2 Over 2.5 won
03.11.25 1:1 Under 2.5
19.09.25 0:1 Under 2.5