Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.4%
exp. goals
2.33
The model agrees with the majority
It matches the authors’ top selection — there is little disagreement on this match.
Head-to-head
17.05.26
0:1
Under 2.5
24.12.25
1:1
Under 2.5
26.10.24
1:3
Over 2.5 won
14.06.24
2:3
Over 2.5 won