Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.9%
exp. goals
2.99
edge
-5.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
20.05.26
0:0
Under 2.5
15.09.24
2:3
Over 2.5 won
27.04.24
1:1
Under 2.5
02.07.23
0:0
Under 2.5