FA Cup
01.09 · 14:35
· Finished
Dalian Zhixing
1 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
12.88
X3.8
22.27
2
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.10.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 3.5
2.50
high
Under 3.5
1.70
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.6%
exp. goals
3.43
edge
-2.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
28.06.26
1:4
Over 2.5 won
07.03.26
3:5
Over 2.5 won
26.10.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
17.05.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won