Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Over 8.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.3%
exp. goals
2.88
edge
-14.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
04.04.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
21.03.26
0:1
Under 2.5
03.01.26
3:0
Over 2.5 won
25.05.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won