Matches
/
Non League Premier - Southern South
/
Hanworth Villa — Chertsey Town
·
Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Non League Premier - Southern South
31.08 · 17:00
· Finished
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1
Chertsey Town
12.57
X3.5
22.57
3
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.97.
Picks on the match
3 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.55
low
Under 1.5
1.62
high
Over 2.5
1.73
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
33%
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 author
33%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.8%
exp. goals
2.53
edge
-3.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
06.04.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won
09.09.23
1:1
Under 2.5
12.08.23
1:2
Over 2.5 won
26.12.22
0:4
Over 2.5 won