Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.6%
exp. goals
2.95
edge
-3.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.02.26
2:2
Over 2.5 won
25.08.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
21.03.23
1:1
Under 2.5
20.08.22
1:2
Over 2.5 won