Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 4.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.3%
exp. goals
2.80
edge
-2.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
08.03.26
1:4
Over 2.5 won
31.08.25
1:1
Under 2.5
15.12.24
0:1
Under 2.5
25.08.24
0:1
Under 2.5