Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 3.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
78.7%
exp. goals
2.52
edge
+5.5%
The model agrees with the majority
It matches the authors’ top selection — there is little disagreement on this match.
Head-to-head
10.05.26
3:1
Over 2.5 won
03.05.26
2:0
Under 2.5
22.03.26
0:2
Under 2.5
04.10.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won