Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 4.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.1%
exp. goals
4.12
edge
+17.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
04.05.26
4:1
Over 2.5 won
10.12.25
3:5
Over 2.5 won
20.04.24
4:1
Over 2.5 won
18.11.23
2:0
Under 2.5