Liga Nacional
30.08 · 04:30
· Finished
CD Motagua
2 : 1
Olancho
12.05
X3.8
24.33
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.64.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 1.5
1.64
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.3%
exp. goals
2.71
edge
-10%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
13.05.26
2:0
Under 2.5
10.05.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
24.04.26
0:0
Under 2.5
02.03.26
1:1
Under 2.5