Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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Модель TheAnalyticD
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.6%
exp. goals
2.47
edge
-8.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.03.26
3:0
Over 2.5 won
19.01.26
1:1
Under 2.5
08.11.25
0:2
Under 2.5
31.08.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won