Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.3%
exp. goals
2.80
edge
-6.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
20.02.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
28.09.25
2:0
Under 2.5
14.09.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
09.02.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won