Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Under 9.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80%
exp. goals
2.72
edge
-4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
14.02.26
5:1
Over 2.5 won
08.11.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
18.01.25
1:1
Under 2.5
24.08.24
1:4
Over 2.5 won