National League - North
31.08 · 17:00
· Finished
Buxton
2 : 1
Merthyr Town
11.66
X4.28
24.35
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.67.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 3.5
1.67
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.3%
exp. goals
3.12
edge
-3.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
28.02.26
3:1
Over 2.5 won
29.11.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
05.11.22
2:0
Under 2.5