National League - North
29.08 · 17:00
· Finished
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Chorley
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.62.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 3.5
2.62
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.8%
exp. goals
3.32
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
07.02.26
2:3
Over 2.5 won
25.10.25
2:0
Under 2.5