Primera Division
30.08 · 04:00
· Finished
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
11.68
X4.06
25.33
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.62.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
1.62
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.7%
exp. goals
3.09
edge
-2.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
02.03.26
8:2
Over 2.5 won
25.01.26
0:2
Under 2.5
28.09.25
1:4
Over 2.5 won
23.07.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won