Primera Division
30.08 · 03:00
· Finished
Diriangén
2 : 0
Jalapa
11.37
X5.13
29.25
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.25.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.25
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78%
exp. goals
2.91
edge
-6.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
02.03.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
25.01.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
28.09.25
0:0
Under 2.5
24.07.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won