1. Lig
02.09 · 20:00
· Finished
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 1
Kayserispor
12.8
X3.55
22.7
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.87.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
1.87
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
72.3%
exp. goals
2.15
edge
-6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
19.03.26
0:1
Under 2.5
24.10.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
04.05.24
2:2
Over 2.5 won
10.01.24
4:1
Over 2.5 won