Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 8.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.7%
exp. goals
2.88
edge
-5.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.01.26
1:5
Over 2.5 won
24.08.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
09.02.25
1:1
Under 2.5
31.08.24
1:1
Under 2.5