National League
05.09 · 17:00
· Finished
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton Utd
12.14
X3.48
23.37
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.95.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
1.95
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
71.7%
exp. goals
2.68
edge
-11.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
13.01.24
2:2
Over 2.5 won
12.08.23
2:1
Over 2.5 won
11.03.23
0:0
Under 2.5
13.08.22
0:1
Under 2.5