National League
31.08 · 17:00
· Finished
Harrogate Town
2 : 1
Gateshead
11.65
X4.11
25.5
2
picks on the match
2
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.31.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 1.5
3.00
high
Under 3.5
1.62
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.7%
exp. goals
3.38
edge
-2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.07.23
0:2
Under 2.5
23.07.22
3:1
Over 2.5 won
23.07.22
3:1
Over 2.5 won