National League
31.08 · 17:00
· Finished
Forest Green
1 : 2
Altrincham
11.6
X4.5
25.75
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.70.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.70
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.2%
exp. goals
2.68
edge
-10.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.01.26
1:1
Under 2.5
23.09.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
25.01.25
1:1
Under 2.5
26.08.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won