Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
33%
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
33%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.1%
exp. goals
3.10
edge
-7.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.01.26
1:4
Over 2.5 won
13.12.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
20.08.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won
15.02.25
2:0
Under 2.5