National League
28.08 · 21:45
· Finished
Gateshead
0 : 1
Sutton Utd
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.84.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.84
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.8%
exp. goals
2.91
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
14.03.26
1:1
Under 2.5
29.11.25
2:4
Over 2.5 won
18.02.25
4:3
Over 2.5 won
23.10.24
1:0
Under 2.5