Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
33%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
33%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.4%
exp. goals
2.25
edge
+17%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.