Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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Модель TheAnalyticD
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.3%
exp. goals
2.50
edge
+26.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
18.07.26
2:0
Under 2.5
26.11.21
0:0
Under 2.5
15.08.21
1:1
Under 2.5
20.02.21
3:3
Over 2.5 won