Premier League
05.09 · 18:00
· Finished
Ararat
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
110.5
X5.39
21.3
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.30.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.30
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.3%
exp. goals
3.03
edge
-11.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.04.26
0:4
Over 2.5 won
21.11.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
30.08.25
2:4
Over 2.5 won
28.05.25
0:6
Over 2.5 won