Premier League
03.09 · 19:00
· Finished
Alashkert
4 : 0
Van
11.21
X7
214.75
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.04.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 0.5
2.04
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 0.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.4%
exp. goals
2.55
edge
-9.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
16.05.26
1:0
Under 2.5
24.10.25
1:0
Under 2.5
29.09.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
29.03.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won