Premier League
30.08 · 19:00
· Finished
FC Noah
4 : 0
Ararat
11.13
X10.44
221
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.87.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 3.5
1.87
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75%
exp. goals
3.48
edge
+2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
19.05.26
8:3
Over 2.5 won
27.10.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
28.09.25
2:0
Under 2.5
26.04.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won