Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.5%
exp. goals
2.41
edge
+2.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
11.07.26
0:2
Under 2.5
19.04.26
1:1
Under 2.5
28.11.25
0:0
Under 2.5
23.08.25
0:0
Under 2.5