Liga de Expansión MX
13.09 · 02:00
· Finished
Venados FC
5 : 0
Tepatitlán
11.53
X4.72
25.75
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.65.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
1.65
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.4%
exp. goals
3.03
edge
-8.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.03.26
0:2
Under 2.5
11.10.25
1:0
Under 2.5
11.01.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
27.07.24
1:1
Under 2.5