Matches / Liga de Expansión MX / Tepatitlán — Dorados · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Liga de Expansión MX 04.09 · 04:00 · Finished
Tepatitlán
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Tepatitlán
1 : 4
Dorados
Dorados
away
12.08 X3.83 23.6
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 2.09.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% 1 2.09 high

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalytic model

Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability 76% exp. goals 2.80 edge -5%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

31.01.26 0:0 Under 2.5
23.08.25 3:0 Over 2.5 won
16.03.25 0:1 Under 2.5
28.09.24 1:1 Under 2.5